4小時MACD 外匯策略

make notes about each trade as to emotion experienced, why was it wrong, is it the

system or my bad decision, did I stick to the rules, was I following the system or did I use

my little version of it etc. etc.

This 4 hour MACD strategy gives a signal with the MACD patterns(round top,

lower highs etc.) as to the timing of the entry. It only observe the possible direction due

to resent movements. People wants a mechanical system that tells them everything and

even do the deal for them. It must draw the trendlines, recognize the patterns, work out

the entry, stop and profit levels. There is however one aspect that people ignores and that

is that the market has an emotion that is hard if possible to built into a automatic system.

I am going to explain it in this way. When I am sitting on the beach with my back

to the ocean relaxing in the sun and there are people playing and running around etc. The

fact that people run around does not make me nervous but it is when there is a different

kind of behavior in there running that calls my attention. I will most definitely see in their

faces what the emotion of their running is. What happens first is that those that saw the

reason for their running first are the leaders in this action. The volume of people keeps

increasing as the knowledge comes known till the masses start to react.

I have five things that I can do.

Firstly I can be a nervous sunbather and jump up every time someone comes

running past only to find that it is trying to catch a running ball. Nothing serious. That is

how 90% of people do there trading. Jumping after every move only to find it was normal

zig zag movements and their stoploss get hit frequently. They get wiped out very quick.

Secondly I can put on my dark glasses put on some sun tan lotion and ignore the

running at all as I am covered. These people put in their deal goes fishing and looks after

two days how did it goes. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn’t. After a year of

trading they find themselves round about breakeven.

Thirdly there are those that wants to investigate everything in detail as to why.

By the time they found out why are the people running they get hit by a tsunami. By the

time you found out why the market is running it is to late as it is about to turn around

again. They always time the top or bottom but in the wrong direction. You get people that

is always late. They get wiped out very quickly.

Fourthly you get those that ran along the moment there is some action going on.

This group does make some profit but it is nervous profit. I call them the news traders.

With time (some accounts does not last till then) you can become good at it, but it is due

to experience..

Let me explain to you the concept of the money changers and there actions. When

interest rates comes down due to good economic condition these people send out all sorts

of ways how to lend cheap money for that trip overseas, new car etc. etc. Till the money

availability gets low and spending is sky-high due to the easy way to get money. Then the

interest rate is raised by 0.5% and after a month another 0.5% and so on. More money out

of the pocket of the consumer that he has to pay back than what he has budgeted for.

Troubled times!!!!!!!!!. They are collecting till the cycle turns again and then it is

lending out again.

Have you ever thought of it in the field of Forex trading. So many websites

inviting you to buy there system and it tells you exactly(to the pip) where to put your

stops and where to enter and where to take profit etc. etc. If I know the cards that you

have in your hand when playing against you I will always win. I think the brokers knows

exactly where the group stops, entries and exits are. That is why it is important to move

with the big ones. They will only take the price as to catch the weak ones. This is only

my opinion and I might be wrong. I am only very cautious and suspicious.

There are those that invites you to come and play on the beach of Forex knowing

that a tsunami will hit some or other time. All they have to do is get as many people on

that beach while they are playing around with them and over time they pass the ball into

the hands of the majority but when the signs of a tsunami is nearing they are the first ones

to leave without the majority noticing it because they are busy playing. Only there

followers knows.

When the tsunami hits they have their deals in to take advantage of the panic

selling of the masses. They created it beforehand. Not the tsunami but the playing field

conditions. Spreading some news here and there that they know the masses will react

upon and so setup the whole scene. When the masses are buying you should be selling

and visa versa. That is what a well known speaker and investor says “to step into the

pain”.

We as tiny investors does not have the resources to step into that pain as it means